FORECAST/eLOAD
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07.08.2020 Industrial excess heat for district heating: Database shows great potential for supplying households
Excess heat from energy-intensive industries is often suitable for use in district heating systems but is usually unutilized. A detailed overview of the potentials available in the EU is now provided by a database of the sEEnergies project. In Germany, 29 petajoules of excess heat from industrial sites could be used, which corresponds to the demand of more than half a million households. The information is available as maps and downloadable datasets.
Publications
Research papers, conference proceedings and working papers
2021
- Kühnbach, M.; Stute, J.; Klingler, A.-L. (2021): Impacts of avalanche effects of price-optimized electric vehicle charging - Does demand response make it worse? In: Energy Strategy Reviews 2021, 34, 100608, doi:10.1016/j.esr.2020.100608.
- Kühnbach, M.; Bekk, A.; Weidlich, A. (2021): Prepared for regional self-supply? On the regional fit of electricity demand and supply in Germany. In:
Energy Strategy Reviews 2021, 34, 100609, doi:10.1016/j.esr.2020.100609.
Data download.This work is licensed under a CC-BY-NC-ND-4.0 License
2020
- Kühnbach, M.; Stute, J.; Gnann, T.; Wietschel, M.; Marwitz, S.; Klobasa, M. (2020): Impact of electric vehicles: Will German households payless for electricity? In: Energy Strategy Reviews 32, p. 100568. DOI: 10.1016/j.esr.2020.100568.
- Kühnbach,
M.; Pisula, S.; Bekk, A.; Weidlich, A. (2020): How much energy autonomy can decentralisedphotovoltaic generation provide? A case study for Southern Germany
(submitted).Download eLOAD Southern Germany Data
- Hladik, D.; Fraunholz, Ch.; Kühnbach,
M.; Manz, Pia; Kunze, Robert (2020): Insights on Germany’s Future
Congestion Management from a Multi-Model Approach. In Energies 13 (16),
p. 4176. DOI: 10.3390/en13164176.
- Maçaira, P., Elsland, R. et al. (2020): Forecastingresidential electricity consumption: a bottom-up approach for Brazil by region, Energy Efficiency, Springer, DOI 10.1007/s12053-020-09860-w.
- Globisch, J.; Kühnbach, M.; Dütschke, E.; Bekk, A. (2020): The stranger in theGerman energy system? How energy system requirements misalign with household preferences for flexible heat pumps. In Energy Research & Social Science 67, p. 101604. DOI: 10.1016/j.erss.2020.101604.
2019
- Wietschel, M.; Kühnbach, M.; Rüdiger, D. (2019): Die aktuelle Treibhausgasemissionsbilanz von Elektrofahrzeugen in Deutschland.Fraunhofer Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI. Karlsruhe (Working Paper Sustainability and Innovation). Available online at http://publica.fraunhofer.de/documents/N-537432.html.
- Kühnbach, M.; Stute, J.; Gnann, T.; Wietschel, M.; Marwitz, S.; Klobasa, M. (2019):Netz- und marktseitige Modellierung der Auswirkungen derElektromobilität auf die Haushaltsstrompreise in Deutschland. Paper präsentiert auf der 11. Internationalen Energiewirtschaftstagung "Freiheit, Gleichheit, Demokratie: Segen oder Chaos für Energiemärkte?" an der TU Wien, 13.-15. Februar 2019, Wien, Österreich; Internationale Energiewirtschaftstagung (IEWT) <11, 2019, Wien>. In, 31 S.
- Hartel, R.; Slednev, V.; Yilmaz, H. Ü.; Ardone, A.; Keles, D.; Fichtner, W. et al. (2019): Dekarbonisierung des Energiesystems durch verstärkten Einsatzerneuerbaren Stroms im Wärme-, Verkehrs- und Industriesektor bei gleichzeitigenStilllegungen von Kraftwerken – Auswirkungen auf die Versorgungssicherheit inSüddeutschland. In 2194-2404 31. DOI: 10.5445/KSP/1000087897.
- Kühnbach, M.; Stute, J.; Klobasa, M. (2019): Does demand response make it worse? Impacts of avalanche effects of price-optimized vehicle charging on the electricity system. In : 4th AIEE Energy Symposium "Current and future challenges to energy security". LUMSA University Rome, 10-12 December, 2019. Associazione Italiana Economisti dell'Energia -AIEE-, Roma; International Association for Energy Economics -IAEE-, Paris. Rome, pp. 294–312. Available online at http://publica.fraunhofer.de/starweb/servlet.starweb?path=epub0.web&search=N-572473.
2018
- Manz, P.; Fleiter, T.; Aydemir, A. (2018): Developing a georeferenced database ofenergy-intensive industry plants for estimation of excess heat potentials; proceedings of eceee industrial energy efficiency summer study. Kalkscheune, Berlin, Germany.
- Wietschel, M.; Kühnbach, M.; Stute, J.; Gnann, T.; Marwitz, S.; Klobasa, M. (2018):Auswirkung der Elektromobilität auf die Haushaltsstrompreise inDeutschland. Working Paper Sustainability and Innovation, No. S 21/2018. Fraunhofer Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI. Available online at http://publica.fraunhofer.de/dokumente/N-519916.html
- Klingler, A.-L.; Elsland, R.; Stute, J.; Klobasa, M. (2018): Study » Medium-term forecast of electricitysupplied to final consumers in Germany for the calendar years 2019 to 2023 «. Karlsruhe: Fraunhofer ISI.
- Klingler, A.-L. (2018): The effect of electric vehicles and heat pumps on the market potential of PV + battery systems. In: Energy, Vol. 161, (Oct. 2018), S. 1064-1073.
- Gnann, T.; Klingler, A.-L.; Kühnbach, M. (2018): The load shift potential of plug-in electric vehicles with different amounts of charging infrastructure. Journal of power sources 390 (2018), pp. 20-29.
2017
- Klingler, A.-L.; Gnann, T.; Michaelis, J. (2017): The impact of charging infrastructure on the load shift potential of electric vehicles; Presented at IAEE Conference; 03-06 September, 2017; Vienna, Austria.
Klingler, Anna-Lena (2017): Self-consumption with PV + Battery systems: A market diffusion model considering individual consumer behaviour and preferences . Applied Energy, August 2017.
Klingler, A.-L., Teichtmann, L. (2017) Impacts of a forecast-based operation strategy for grid-connected PV storage systems on profitability and the energy system. Solar Energy, 158C, pp. 861-868. DOI: 10.1016/j.solener.2017.10.052
Teichtmann, L.; Klingler, A.-L. (2017): Impacts of a forecast-based operation strategy for grid-connected PV storage systems on profitability and the energy system . In: ECEEE Summer Study Proceedings 2017, p. 1092-1101.
Klinger, A.-L.; Elsland, R.; Boßmann, T. (2017): Where are the electricity load hot spots in 2035? A load curve analysis considering demographic and technological changes. 14th International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM), 6-9 June 2017, Dresden.
Elsland, R.; Boßmann, T.; Klingler, A.-L.; Herbst, A.; Klobasa, M.; Wietschel, M. (2017): Netzentwicklungsplan Strom – Entwicklung der regionalen Stromnachfrage und Lastprofile. Studie im Auftrag der Deutschen Übertragungsnetzbetreiber, Karlsruhe: Fraunhofer-Institut für System- und Innovationsforschung ISI.
Herbst, A.; Fleiter, T.; Elsland, R.; Rehfeldt, M.; Reiter, U. (2017): Benchmarking the EU reference scenario 2016: An alternative bottom-up analysis of long-term energy consumption in Europe. In: ECEEE Summer Study Proceedings 2017, p. 159-169.
2016
Fleiter, Tobias; Rehfeldt, Matthias; Pfluger, Benjamin (2016): A transitition pathway for Germany's industry: which role for energy efficiency? ECEEE Industrial Summer Study Proceedings 2016 (1-019-16 Fleiter et al).
Rehfeldt, Matthias; Rohde, Clemens; Fleiter, Tobias; Toro, Felipe; Reitze, Felix (2016): A bottom-up estimation of heating and cooling demand in the European industry. ECEEE Industrial Summer Study Proceedings 2016 (1-03-16 Rehfeldt et al).
Elsland, R.: Long-term energy demand in the German residential sector – Development of an integrated modeling concept to capturetechnological myopia. Dissertation, Karlsruhe Institute for Technology. Baden-Baden, NOMOS-Verlag, 2016.
Huang, Yun-Hsun; Chang, Yi-Lin; Fleiter, Tobias (2016): A critical analysis of energy efficiency improvement potentials in Taiwan’s cement industry . Energy Policy Volume 96, September 2016, Pages 14-26.
Herbst, Andrea; Fleiter, Tobias; Jochem, Eberhard (2016): Einfluss von Materialstrategieverbesserungen auf die industrielle Energienachfrage . 14. Symposium Energieinnovation, 10.-12.02.2016 Graz/Austria.
2015
Boßmann, Tobias (2015): The contribution of electricity consumers to peak shaving and the integration of renewable energy sources by means of demand response. A model-based long-term scenario analysis in consideration of structural changes in electricity demand. Stuttgart: Fraunhofer Verlag.
Boßmann, T.; Staffell, I.: The shape of future electricity demand: Exploring load curves in 2050s Germany and Britain. Energy Vol. 90, Part 2, October 2015, pp. 1317-1333.
Boßmann, T.: The contribution of electricity consumers to peak shaving and the integration of renewable energysources by means of demand response. Dissertation, Karlsruhe Institute for Technology. Stuttgart, Fraunhofer-Verlag, 2015.
Boßmann, T.; Elsland, R.; Klingler, A.-L.; Catenazzi, G.; Jakob, M.: Assessing the optimal use of electric heating systems for integrating renewable energy sources, 7th International Conference on Sustainability in Energy and Buildings (SEB-15), Lissabon, 2015.
Boßmann, T.; Schleich, J.; Schurk, R.: Unravelling load patterns of residential end-uses from smart meter data. In: ECEEE 2015 Summers Study - First Fuel Now. Conference Proceedings, pp 1112-1122 (Download for members).
Braungardt, S.; Elsland, R.; Eichhammer, W.: The environmental impact of eco-innovations – The case of EU-residential electricity use, In: Environmental Economics and Policy Studies (EEPS), Special issue on Green growth, eco innovation and sustainable transitions, Turin, 2015.
Elsland, R.; Klingler, A.-L.; Degner, P.; Oswald, Y.; Wietschel, M.: Are current regionalisation approaches sufficient to decompose electricity demand? – A German case study, 10th Conference on Energy Economics and Technology (ENERDAY), Dresden, 2015.
Fleiter, T.; Braungardt, S.; Sohaib, T.; Schlomann, B.; Eichhammer, W.; Elsland, R.; Kranzl, L.; Jakob, M.; Assessing the impact of the EU Ecodesign Directive on a member state level. Summer study on energy efficiency (ECEEE 2015), Hyères, 2015.
Klingler, A.-L.; Boßmann, T.: Technologiebasierte Lastmodellierung vor dem Hintergrund von PV-Stromerzeugung und Lastmanagement. In: 9. Internationale Energiewirtschaftstagung an der TU Wien, Wien, 2015.
2014
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Braungardt,
S.; Elsland, R.; Dehler, J.: Modelling the effect of the Ecodesign and
Labelling directives – Bottom-up analysis of EU-27 residential electricity use,
International Energy Policy & Programme Evaluation Conference, Berlin,
2014.
-
Elsland,
R.; Peksen, I.; Wietschel, M.: Are internal heat gains underestimated in
thermal performance evaluation of buildings?, Energy Procedia, Karlsruhe, 2014.
- Elsland,
R.; Bradke, H.; Wietschel, M.: A European impact assessment of the Eco-Design
requirements for heating systems – What kind of savings can we expect?, Energy
Procedia, Karlsruhe, 2014.
- Elsland,
R.; Divrak, C.; Fleiter, T.; Wietschel, M.: Turkey’s strategic energy
efficiency plan – an ex ante impact assessment of the residential sector,
Energy Policy, Karlsruhe, 2014.
- Elsland,
R.; Bradke, H., Wietschel, M.: Analysing the impact of Eco-Design requirements
on heating systems – A European case study, 9th Conference on Energy Economics
and Technology (ENERDAY), Dresden, 2014.
- Herbst, A.; Fleiter, T.; Jochem, E.: Modelling recycling and material efficiency
trends in the European steel industry. Conference Contribution and
Presentation. ECEEE industrial summer study. Arnhem, The Netherlands, 2014.
-
Herbst, A., Biere, D., Fleiter, T., Jochem, E., Schade, W., Krail, M.,
and Kühn, A.: Coupling
of ASTRA and Forecast Industry: A case study for the basic metals industry ,
ESA2 Short Report, Fraunhofer ISI Karlsruhe, Germany, 2014.
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Jakob, M.; Kallio, S.; Boßmann, T.: Generating electricity demand-side load
profiles of the tertiary sector for selected European countries, 8th International Conference Improving Energy
Efficiency in Commercial Buildings (IEECB’14) , Frankfurt, 2014.
2013
-
Batas
Bjelic, I.; Rajakovic, N.; Elsland, R., Eichhammer, R. (2013): Improvements of
Serbian-NEEAP based on analysis of residential energy demand until 2030, 8. Internationale Energiewirtschaftstagung an
der TU Wien (IEWT 2013), Wien.
- Boßmann, T.; Pfluger, B.; Wietschel, M.: The shape matters! How structural changes in the electricity load
curve affect optimal investments in generation capacity , 10th
International Conference on the European Energy Market (EEM13), Stockholm,
2013.
-
Boßmann,
T.; Elsland, R.; Lickert, F.; Wietschel, M.: The German load curve in 2050: structural changes through energy
efficiency measures and their impacts on the electricity supply side,
Summer study on energy efficiency (ECEEE 2013), Hyères, 2013.
-
Boßmann,
T.; Elsland, R.; Lickert, F.; Wietschel, M.: The German electricity demand in the year 2050: Structural changes in
the load curve and their impact on the supply side, 8. Internationale
Energiewirtschaftstagung an der TU Wien (IEWT 2013), Wien, 2013.
-
Boßmann, T.; Elsland, R.;
Eichhammer, W.; Bradke, H.: Energy Savings Potentials and Technologies in the
Industrial Sector: Europe as an Example, in: Stolten, Detlef (Ed.), Scherer,
Viktor (Ed.): Transition to Renewable Energy Systems, Wiley-VCH, Weinheim,
913-936, 2013.
- Elsland,
R.; Divrak, C.; Fleiter, T.; Wietschel, M. (2013a): The Turkish energy efficiency strategy - ex-ante assessment for the
residential sector: 7th International Conference on Energy Efficiency in
Domestic Appliances and Lighting (EEDAL), Coimbra.
- Elsland,
R.; Schlomann, B.; Eichhammer, W. (2013b): Is
enough electricity being saved? Impact
of energy efficiency policies addressing electrical household appliances in
Germany until 2030: eceee summer study 2013, June 3-8, Presquíle de Giens.
- Elsland,
R., Wietschel, M. (2013): Long-term energy demand modelling – Analyzing the
impact of myopic technological knowledge, Helmholtz Association – Alliance
ENERGY-TRANS, Conference on Energy Systems in Transition: Inter- and Transdisciplinary
Contributions, Karlsruhe.
- Elsland,
R.; Divrak, C.; Fleiter, T., Wietschel, M. (2013): Türkiye Enerji Verimliliği
Strateji Belgesinin Analizi - Konut Sektörünün Geleceğe Yönelik
Değerlendirmesi, Enerji ve Çevre Dünyası (Turkish Energy&Environment
Magazine), Teknik Sektör Yayıncılığı A.Ş. (Editor), Issue 104,p. 53-60.
- Elsland,
R.; Fisel, J.; Harter, C., Wietschel, M. (2013): Consideration of myopic
technological knowledge in long-term energy demand modelling, in: Mannheim
Energy Conference 2013, Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) and Mannheim
Centre for Competition and Innovation (MaCCI), Mannheim.
- Elsland, R.; Boßmann, T.; Peksen, I.;
Wietschel, M. (2013): Auswirkungen von Nutzerverhalten und Klimawandel auf den
Heizwärmebedarf im europäischen Haushaltssektor bis 2050, 8. Internationale
Energiewirtschaftstagung an der TU Wien (IEWT 2013), Wien.
- Elsland, R.; Boßmann, T.; Hartel, R.; Gnann,
T.; Fichtner, W.; Wietschel, M. (2013): Die Haushalte im Zeichen der
Energiewende: Entwicklung der Stromnachfrage und Lastprofile,
et-Energiewirtschaftliche Tagesfragen, Ausgabe 1-2, Essen.
- Fleiter, T.; Schlomann, B.; Eichhammer, W.
(eds.) (2013): Energieverbrauch und CO2
Emissionen industrieller Prozesstechniken - Einsparpotenziale, Hemmnisse und
Instrumente. Stuttgart: Fraunhofer Verlag.
- Fleiter, T. (2013): Der deutsche Policy-Mix zur Steigerung der Energieeffizienz in Unternehmen - Eine modellbasierte ex-ante Untersuchung: 8. IEWT an der TU Wien, 13-15. Februar.
- Herbst, A.; Fleiter, T.; Jochem, E. (2013): Mutually linking bottom-up energy demand models
with macroeconomic models: Dealing with inter- and intra-sectoral structural
change. IAEE International Conference Contribution and Presentation. Dague,
South Korea.
- Jakob, M.; Catenazzi, G.; Fleiter, T. (2013): Ex-ante estimation of the EU Ecodesign Directive's impact on the long-term electricity demand of the tertiary sector: eceee summer study 2013, June 3-8, Presquíle de Giens.
2012
-
Elsland,
R.; Boßmann, T.; Wietschel, M. (2012): Analysis of the European residential
building stock until 2050 - Contribution of an energy-efficient building
envelope to reduce space heating demand, 1st KIC InnoEnergy Scientist
Conference, Leuven.
-
Elsland,
R.; Boßmann, T.; Hartel, R.; Gnann, T.; Genoese, M.; Wietschel, M. (2012): Analysis
of structural changes of the load profiles of the German residential sector due
to decentralized electricity generation and e-mobility, in: Håkansson et al.
(Eds.): Sustainability in Energy and Buildings, Smart innovations, systems and
technologies, Vol. 32, Springer, 71-84, Stockholm.
- Elsland, R.; Boßmann, T.; Wietschel, M. (2012):
Technologiebasierte Analyse der Stromnachfrage im deutschen Haushaltssektor bis
2050, 12. Symposium Energieinnovation (EnInnov2012), Graz.
- Herbst, A.; Toro, F. A.; Reitze, F.; Jochem, E. (2012): Introduction to Energy Systems Modelling. Swiss Journal of Economics and Statistics, Vol. 148 (2), 111–135. Abstract online available: http://www.sjes.ch/published.php?PaperNr=2012-II-2&Year=2012
- Herbst,
A.; Toro, F.; Reitze, F.; Jochem, E. (2012): Bridging macroeconomic and bottom up energy models – the case of
efficiency in industry, Summer Study on Energy Efficiency in Industry
(ECEEE 2012), Proceedings, Arnhem, Netherlands.
- Fleiter,
T.; Fehrenbach, D.; Worrell, E.; Eichhammer, W. (2012): Energy efficiency in the German pulp and paper industry - A model-based
assessment of saving potentials. Energy, 40 ( 1 ), pp. 84-99.
- Jakob,
M.; Fleiter, T.; Catenazzi, G.; Hirzel, S.; Reitze, F.; Toro, F. (2012): The impact of policy measures on the
electricity demand of the tertiary sector of the European Union: An analysis
with the bottom-up model FORECAST, Konferenzband der IEECB 18-19.04.2012,
Frankfurt.
2011
-
Fleiter,
T.; Schlomann, B.; Hirzel, S.; Arens, M.; Hassan, A.; Idrissova, F.; Reitze,
F.; Toro, F.A.; Rohde, C.; Eichhammer, W.; Cebulla, F.; Jochem, E. (2011a): Where are the promising energy-efficient
technologies? A
comprehensive analysis of the German energy-intensive industries : eceee
summer study 2011, June 6-11, Presquíle de Giens.
- Fleiter,
T.; Hirzel, S.; Jakob, M.; Barth, J.; Quandt, L.; Reitze, F.; Toro, F. (2010): Electricity demand in the European service
sector: a detailed bottom-up estimate by sector and by end-use,
Konferenzband der IEECB 13-14.04.2010, Frankfurt.
- Schlomann,
B.; Fleiter, T.; Hansen, P.; Horn, M.; Matthes, F.-C.; Gores, S. (2011):
- Wietschel, M., Fleiter, T., & Hirzel, S. (2011). Modellierung der Energienachfrage - der wesentliche Baustein für zukünftige Energieszenarien. Energieszenarien. Konstruktion, Bewertung und Wirkung-„Anbieter “und „Nachfrager “im Dialog. S, 41-51.
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