In the context of an energy system analysis of Germany and its neighboring countries, the scenario results of FORECAST and eLOAD were presented at the Ministry of the Environment, Climate Protection and the Energy Sector Baden-Württemberg on 04.06.2018 in Stuttgart.
Report for the German Environmental Agency published: Energy and climate policy scenarios - Projection of Germany's greenhouse gas emissions through 2035ons for the industrial sector and for residential appliances.
This publication develops projections of greenhouse gas emissions for Germany on the basis of bottom-up models. The FORECAST model was used to develop projections for the industrial sector and for residential appliances. In particular, the impact of individual energy and climate policy instruments has been specified. The With-Measures scenario (MMS) takes into account all measures decided upon by August 31, 2014. In the Additional-Measures Scenario (MWMS), the additional measures adopted by the German government in December 2014 in the Climate Protection 2020 action programme and the National Action Plan for Energy Efficiency have been added.
Compared to the base year 1990, an emission reduction of 32.7% (MMS) and 37.4% (MWMS) for the greenhouse gases covered by the Kyoto Protocol will be achieved by 2020, and 43% and 49% respectively, by 2030. The content of this report essentially corresponds to the German government's 2015 GHG projection report.
The report can be downloaded here.