FORECAST/eLOAD

 
 

 Fraunhofer Institute for Systems and Innovation Research (ISI)

 
 

Institute for Resource Efficiency and Energy Strategies

 
 

      TEP Energy GMBH

Final Workshopf of the BMWi-funded Research Project "AVerS"

02.08.2019

The final workshop of the BMWi-funded research project "AVerS" took place on 8 July 2019 in Stuttgart. In the project, dealing with the topic of security of supply in Southern Germany, Fraunhofer ISI provided in-depth electricity demand scenarios and demand response potentials with a high temporal and spatial resolution.

The final workshop of the BMWi-funded research project "AVerS" took place on 8 July 2019 in Stuttgart. In this context, the project partners KIT, TU Dresden, Fraunhofer ISI and ESA² GmbH presented their results on long-term security of supply in Southern Germany to the public. Four specialized models were coupled in the project: The bottom-up demand simulation model FORECAST, the model eLOAD converting the annual demand into an hourly system load, the market model PowerACE (KIT, Karlsruhe) as well as the transmission grid model ELMOD (TU Dresden). With regard to the effects on security of supply, three different mechanisms were examined: a division of the German price zone, the introduction of a capacity mechanism and the increased use of demand flexibility. Fraunhofer ISI focused on the calculation of an ambitious GHG reduction scenario, in particular taking into account innovative production processes in energy intensive industries. The annual and hourly electricity demand were modelled at NUTS-3 level to consider local effects of the transformation of the energy system and local demand response potentials.

Results of the project can be found here.

Development of regional electricity demand
Development of regional electricity demand
Comparison of selected processes and applications over the course of a day - 2030 vs. 2015

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